Future fails: 5 tech predictions sci-fi got wrong

Science fiction has a remarkable record of predicting tomorrow's world. However, there's still some room for improvement.

Published by Joel Willans on November 8, 2012

Holograms, lasers, satellites, smartphones and hoverboards: if there’s anything that science-fiction has taught us, it’s the power of imagination to make our dreams come – wait! Hoverboards?

Back in 1989, Robert Zemeckis’s Back To The Future: Part II reckoned that, come 2015, the humble skateboard would be no more, and we’d all be zipping about, without wheels. above the ground. Well, clock’s still ticking on that one, and though Mattel claim to have a sort-of-hoverboard in development, it hasn’t hit the high street yet. While we wait, let’s look at five other unfulfilled sci-fi predictions

Cloned Dinosaurs

Okay, we’re not sure how this would benefit mankind, but we’ve been waiting to hear the real-life roar of a T-Rex since Jurassic Park stormed the box-office in 1993. Surely pterodactyls ought to be soaring around the Manhattan skyline by now? Sadly, Australian scientists say that although DNA strands could survive for up to 6.8 million years and remain readable for 1.5 million years, the last Dino went extinct about 65 million years ago – so the sums just don’t add up. But hey, at least we’ve had Dolly the sheep, right?

Moon Colonies

Not only are we not lounging on our space deck-chairs on the surface of the moon, squinting down at the distant Earth, but we haven’t even been back there since 1972! So much for Ursula K. Le Guin’s The Lathe of Heaven, Asimov’s The Gods Themselves, Wall-E and Moon, not to mention huge swathes of Arthur C. Clarke’s writing! Our extra-terrestrial frontiersmen may still be grounded, but NASA’s right now got the unmanned Mars Curiosity rover uncovering all the Red Planet’s secrets – so maybe one day, we’ll all be Martians instead of Moon Men.

Teleportation

Star Trek has much to answer for, but the primary culprit is this: how come we still can’t zap ourselves from A to B? We’ve seen it in The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, Doctor Who, Stargate, Logan’s Run, and, perhaps most gruesomely, The Fly – but, in reality, scientists say that the most we can hope for is the teleportation of particles and information. China’s planning to launch a quantum teleportation satellite in 2016 to test this out. Now, that is pretty exciting, but in the meantime, it’s back to the bus-stop for us…

Nuclear Apocalypse

On the bright side, science-fiction has more than once foretold the nasty end of our cosy modern age due to some catastrophic nuclear holocaust. La Jetée, The Road, Blade Runner, The Hunger Games – it’s a long and growing list by a collection of rather pessimistic writers and directors. And yet, here we are, nearing the end of 2012, still more or less intact! We might not have robotic servants, but we haven’t blown ourselves sky-high. Phew!

Garbage Fuel

As well as hoverboards, Back To The Future (Part III, this time) suggested we’d solve both our landfill and our fuel problems in one convenient stroke by using our trash to power our equipment! Well, while this one isn’t quite as unrealistic as the T-Rex cloning effort, we’re not there yet. Scientists are working on thermo-chemical and fermentation processes to turn medical, radioactive, industrial, and municipal waste into fuel that could replace petrochemical products – and British Airways are looking into turning waste into jet-fuel! So perhaps Doc Brown wasn’t all wrong…

 

Clearly, predicting the future is a risky business even for writers who make it there business to do just that. If you think you can do a better job, why not dust off your crystal ball and let us know your predictions for the 21st century.

Image credit: Lee Jordon

Comments

  • Marc_Aurel

    No nuclear holocaust in Blade Runner or in the Philip K. Dick book it is based on. The Road also does not specify the nature of the catastrophe. Perhaps you meant “global catastrophe”, which would be a more general description and cover anything from a global ecosystem collapse to the effects of a close by supernova.

    • http://www.facebook.com/joel.willans Joel Willans

      It’s true I took a bit of artistic license with The Road, Marc as it’s never explicitly stated it’s a nuclear war, but there are lots of signs, ash on the wind, grey snow, ravaged landscape, to suggest nuclear holocaust.

      As for Blade Runner, it’s set some time after World War Terminus. A nuclear war in which the nuclear fall out has caused the destruction of most of the planets
      eco-system, which is probably why it’s always dark and raining.

      There. I’ve now exposed my secret sci-fi fanboyism to the world :)

  • http://yhoo.it/michaelwaisjr MichaelWaisJr

    I still wish they made hoverboards! lol!

  • http://twitter.com/easyhiker101 Michael

    I’m still waiting for my Dick Tracy watch actually.

  • http://yoshimitsukatayama.net/ Yoshimitsu Katayama

    Rock and roll !!!!!

  • http://www.facebook.com/MarkAReynolds Mark Reynolds

    Hey, at least we have something that’s getting pretty close to Star Trek’s tricorders in the form of smartphones, and in an even smaller package. Plus we have the electronic books of Hitch-Hikers Guide To The Galaxy, and we’re starting to get the gesture interface of both Hitch-Hikers Guide To The Galaxy and Minority Report. Augmented Reality is only just beginning, but looks like you Nokia guys are taking us in that direction.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=663918885 Jeff Langfels

    Missing a good chunk of the lifestyle of the Jetsons. I always wanted a flying car that folds up into a briefcase as well as a sarcastic maid robot.

  • http://www.facebook.com/goldiedust2012 Goldie Dust

    Still holding out hope for moon colonies (or even better planetary colonies) and garbage fuel. But happy cloning is a no go. I can just imagine how that could go horribly, horribly wrong.

  • http://twitter.com/haroldlgardner Harold Gardner

    When you cast dreams, sometimes you will miss. I think the funniest prediction was picture phone that never really happened with traditional wired lines. Who would have thought that a mobile phone was what really made that happen?

  • http://twitter.com/potomacsecret Potomac Real Estate

    I think the older science fiction writers – like Jules Verne and Isaac Asimov had it nailed. Great article!

  • Ikohaus Avante-garde

    I think this is all great but the secret to traveling to other planets would lie in attaining the speed of light first, then worrying aging and suspended animation next.

  • http://www.facebook.com/BradWaller Brad Waller

    Garbage fuel is here, if you count methane trapping from landfills. Next will be other biogas and boifuels from trash, so that one is not as bad a prediction as it seems.

  • Yanko Karamanov

    Most of the predictions are going to happen, but lets wait until the end of 2012:))

    • Shaun Sanders

      Hi from 2013 :D

  • http://www.facebook.com/tomlaing Tom Laing

    We can only wait in awe at writers’ imaginings and anticipation at sciences’ developments

  • http://twitter.com/TweetManCoo #Tweet’r

    What a great article! Found it closer to reality than one would think. What would we do without science fiction…

  • Luba Brezhnev

    Very good article, thank you, Nokia!
    “Back To The Future” Nokia fan.

  • http://www.meshorizons.com/ Mes horizons

    Je pense que la Science Fiction précède la technologie et donne l’inspiration aux cherchers… à moins que cela ne soit qu’une question d’air du temps, comme la mode et les arts…

  • http://www.facebook.com/Covarr Andrew Covarrubias

    The garbage fuel was part 2. Back to the Future: Part 3 was the wild west.